3 driving cycle --> continuations
PRDE --> prosperity, recession, depression, improvement
human population is now majority urban....
sun spots... electro magentic
multiple scenarios...
y-axis - innovation rate
x-axis - public acceptance
time , event ---> wild cards, uncertainty, wild cards
never mistake a clear view for a short distance...
s-curve ... expectation, underestimation....
Cherish failure, especially when it's someone else's failure
in the biological world innovation is mutation.....
indicators precede inflections*
and the stranger the better
Romba iRobot
robots should drive because they actually can be safer, yet humans continue to drive when they have accidents all the time...
ref: accident on highway 99...
look back twice as far backwards to be able to see forward... i.e. look back 20 yrs to see 10 yrs, look back 10 yrs to see 5 yrs forward, etc, etc
cheap sensors are really making a huge difference
embrace uncertainty...
if you fear change leave it in here....
if you fear change leave it in here...
No comments:
Post a Comment