Tuesday, August 31, 2010

singularityu Not a bad start for only 10 weeks --> http://ping.fm/dd5A2

Saturday, August 28, 2010

singularityu fun day at great america amusement park. Great to spend some time with GSP '09 folks :)

Monday, August 23, 2010

singularityu - Visited the greenest house in the USA today, then BBQ at a ranch.

Friday, August 13, 2010

singularityu - Michael Gillem - eMedicine http://ping.fm/IKk7k
singularityu - Michael Gillem - When is a 17 year old going to create a "Napster" for Healthcare to create an Healthcare Ecosystem
singularityu - Michael Gillem - http://www.fitbit.com/
singularityu - Michael Gillem - Heart 360 - http://ping.fm/zAYXC
singularityu - Trialx - find hope for your hopeless disease. . . http://trialx.com/
singularityu - Active Health Management http://ping.fm/XsgUK
singularityu - Michael Gillem - Pharma surveyor - http://ping.fm/Y5LSg
singularityu - Michael Gillem - In twelve years we will have 36 million medical articles vs 18 million today.
singularityu - Michael Gillem - Is the healthcare singularity in the year 2025? Cure discovery to disease elimination = 0 years
singularityu - Michael Gillem - It took 264 years from 1601 to 1865 from first cure to complete elimination of Scurvy

Thursday, August 5, 2010

singularityu Big companies should not hide there motives. People aren't stupid, and can see through corporate intent.
singularityu Crazy egg - website analytics http://ping.fm/kBRie
singularityu Confessions Of A VC Who Raised Money During Financial Armageddon http://ping.fm/xJmNJ

How to create a global phenomenon - Tim Farris

The 4-hour work week

The Guiding Principle:
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority; it's probably time to think and reflect about what you are doing!

Book was turned down by 26 out of 27 publishers.

The assumptions:
consistent suggestions: radio blogs,  most stuff doesn't make it

The goal:
20,000 earlyvangelists in 2 weeks
"surround sound" effect
Suggestion:  Read "1,0000 True Fans"

Data is King
7am and 6pm PST on Tuesday, Thursday, Saturday.

Sometimes data that is easily obtained can be extremely valuable, technical people sometime underestimate this

1) Indirect
2) Direct
3) Meta

Brian Oberkirch...

43 folders

Robert Scoble:


Sell around the product
PPC -->  Phenomenize, Polarize, Communitize
Lifestyle design

From Geek to Freak: How I Gained 34 lbs of muscle in 4 weeks

Get satisfaction


Blog post  should be around 500 to 750 pages...  but can be longer if you get people's attention early on.
Remove the date, put it at the bottom...

Metrics in one page
1) measure the fewest things possible 80//20
2) a/b tests    optimize me to produce meaningful changes.
3) vanity metrics (if you don't know don't speculate) -->  actionable metrics  (stick to actionalbe metrics)
4) create a feedback culture.

steps:  acquition, retention, referral

cost per acquisition (CPA)
ARPU + Lifetime Value (LV)
Viral coefficient (10 new : 10 orig = > 1)

first giving:

donars chose:

slinkset

google moderator

weight loss:  (remove negativity)

Gyminee

The question people always ask when they goto your site is...  How will I use it?
Keep the UI design very simple and straight forward....










singularityu - The 4 hour work week - Tim Farris speaking http://ping.fm/NGrVo

How to Create a Global Phenomenon - David Rose

SBIR = Small Business Innovation Research
SMTT = Small Business Innovation Research

Phase I: up to $100,000

1 in 4 receive this

Phase II: up to $750,000

Phase III -->  you have to get it yourself

  1. Bootstrapping is the best way to finance a company!
  2. Banks aren't in the business of funding startups -->  they don't want to take the risk.
  3. Startups can't get loans!!  -->  only if you personally promse to pay back  (can't get an unsecured loan).
  4. Raising equity: selling part of your company and gaining a partner --> this is really risky, close to selling your soul.
  5. YOU will be your first investor...
  6. Friends, and family should be second...
  7. Angel investors should be third...
  8. Venture capitalists are next

Venture capitalists -->  professional money managers who invest large pools of other people's money for an economic return.
LP  ==>  Limited Partners  (losses limited only to the extent of the money they lose)
GP ==>  General Partner (responsible for any debt incurred by the firm)

Angel Investors  --> Rich(ish) people who invest their own money for economic and other reasons (but not billionaires typically)

VC's get 2% of the committed funds for running the fund for fancy dinners, etc  plus 20% of the upside in returns

After the dot-com crash,  tons of LPs lost money and talked to the VC fund.. where's my money! don't lose my money!  then VCs stopped leading money,  thus there was almost NO VC money available after the dot-com crash.

Early, Late  --->   Angels  55,000 deals mostly early-stage



Idea --->  Plan --->  Prototype --->  Beta --->  Sales --->  Profitability

Friends, Family & Fools  $100k     -->  Idea, Plan
Angel Investors   $300k  to $500k  -->  Idea, Plan, Prototype, Beta
SBIR/STTR Grants   -->  $100k to $750k

Angel Groups  $500k  to $1-$3 million
Strategic Partners  --> corporate partners,  deals between companies, etc (google buying admob, etc)
Venture Capital -->  $3 - $4,  $10 million  (show me sales, profitability)
Banks  --> only once you are profitable  from $0 to tens of millions
IPO ->  $50M  to $100M

20 - 40% is given up after each round of financing

US Early Stage Financing

Govt Grants $2 b
Angel investing $20 B
Venture Capital $25 B


600,000 companies started this year, here's the break down:
350,000 founders
200,000 friends and family
50,000 angels
1,000 venture capital

Profile of an Angel:  age 57
masters degree
15 year entrepreneur
2.7 ventures founded

9 years investing
10 investing
2 exits/closures so far
10% of wealth in angel investments

"Accredited Investor"
$1 million in assets (not including home) or
$200,000 annual income in past two years

Secret Economics of the Angels
Well managed angel funds return 25- 30%

$1 million for angel investments distributed over 10 deals
1.25 ^ 6 = 3.8 x ROI - Return on Investment

5 will go no where                =    0  x  1/10  x 5 x 0 = 0.0
2 will get my money back    =    1  x  1/10  x 2 x 1 = 0.2
2 will get me 3x my money  =    3  x  1/10  x 2 x 3 = 0.6
1 your deal must return 30x =  30  x  1/10 x  

Execution is a multiplier of an idea

How good of an idea?
Awful = -1
Weak= 1
So-So= 5
Good= 10
Great = 15
Brilliant= 20

Execution
None  =                      $1
Weak  =             $1,000
So-So  =          $10,000
Good  =         $100,000
Great  =      $1,000,000
Brilliant  = $10,000,000

brilliant Idea x So-so execution   = $200,000
So-so Idea x Brilliant Execution  = $50,000,000

Business Plan
Executive Summary

One Pager -->  Angel soft creates this.  140 characters?
Create an email pitch.

You must network to get cash for your idea.

Create a presentation
Create a video
What is your elevator pitch

The elevator pitch
what's exciting
what you do
who you are
keep it simple
aim for 30 seconds
have it down cold!


Wednesday, August 4, 2010

singularityu - GE is rolling out telepresence globally.
singularityu - General Electric wanted to use google docs instead of microsoft if they would have dedicated a server to GE only, but google refused.
singularityu - Water storage could be used as a means for storing energy in the developing world, pump the water up higher when the intermittent energy is available, simple use of potential energy.
singularityu - Micro nuclear reactors are a big opportunity (Imperial), Wind will be off shore, thin film PVs will be on the walls of most new homes
singularityu - General Electric had 10 to 12 layers before Jack Welsh made a rule to only have 4 layers of management in the 1980s. This made the number of direct reports to a manger go from 4 to 22 on average. This changed culture tremendously.
singularityu - GE had chief scientists who taught employees about the future of materials, nanotech, etc.
singularityu - Additive manufacturing --> http://ping.fm/idYOD
singularityu - In canada - banks only made loans to people who could actually afford the loan and mortgage.
singularityu - Great leaders don't take credit for others accomplishments; they in fact give others credit for great work.
singularityu - Good leaders seek conflict, mediocre leaders fear conflict.
singularityu - Great leaders thank their employees; as an example take 2 hours on Friday in the morning to thank your employees.
singularityu - Great leaders: listen, recognize, inspire, and have emotional intelligence.
singularityu - Customer experience based market research on three different prototypes of a part is typical for Toyota in their product development pipe.
singularityu - Make it better for the customer, and better for your internal operations, that's the genius corporate initiative.
singularityu - Toyota wants to be able to make whatever vehicle you want in 12 days, it's 30 days now, and will eventually enable elimination of the dealership inventory, only a store front.
singularityu - Great companies give employees ownership of their ideas; great companies co-create the vision of the company with the employees
singularityu - Great companies listen to their employees and implement their ideas, such as Toyota; mediocre companies don't
singularityu A recommended book: 4 hr work week! http://ping.fm/yUUGr
singularityu A Simple theory of everything @ SU http://ping.fm/itbIm

Tom Byers - High-Growth Technology Ventures - Stanford

The relationship between Stanford and Silicon Valley is just amazing, it's been going on for decades.  It's an amazing ecosystem of innovation and company creation.  




Top 10 Elements of Technology Entrepreneurship for High-Growth Innovation


Built to Last:

Good to Great


Ideas:  Product and Market Strategy
Talent: Team and Culture
Capital: Cash Flow and Venture Finance

The best time to start a company is during a down turn.  

Environment and Sustainability
Security and Economic stability
Digital and Physical infrastructure
Human Health and Education


Waves of Innovation:
1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th wave.



What is your competitive positioning and how are you developing your partners and customers?

Blank's customer development model
Steve Blank

Show me that the customers really have this problem.....    You need to make sure that customers really need this service..??

Articulate a customer development process to verify that you actually have a viable customer....

Crossing the Chasm


TYPES OF RISK:   
(WHICH DO YOU HAVE. . . )
TEAM RISK
CAPITAL RISK
MARKET RISK
TECHNOLOGICAL RISK

Bill Sahlman


singularityu Characteristics of entrepreneurs: audacity, closer (see it to the end, sales), courage, adaptive, patience
singularityu - Creating "T-shaped" people Breadth of knowledge about entrepreneurship, Innovation, and leadership: depth of knowledge in a particular discipline.
singularityu Team... recruiting; compensation, rewards; culture... norms
singularityu innovation = f(creativity, teamwork)
singularityu - Movie about facebook: The social network --> http://ping.fm/SORLT
singularityu Crossing the Chasm:
http://ping.fm/L72Jw
singularityu Book by Steven Blank: Four Steps Epiphany http://ping.fm/D1mgQ
singularityu - Steve Blank http://ping.fm/UyXpM
singularityu Tom Byers speaking at SU http://ping.fm/Oak9w

Entrepreneurial Skills presentation by David Rose

People

Management

Production

Operations

Financial Management

Sales


Angelsoft -->  it took 4 years to get people to buy into the free use of the Angelsoft network.


what investors look for:
integrity
passion
experience
knowledge
skill
leadership
commitment
vision
realism
coachability

Angel investors fund about 2-3% of the people that approach them.
Venture Capitalists fund about 1 out of 400 businesses which approach them.
Bootstrapping businesses are absolutely the best way of creating a
 business.  

Scott Shane:
The Illusions of Entrepreneurship


Outliers have to be Hypomanic "enough"

Cultural tradition:
impacts the level of entrepreneurship:
In Italy if you fail you lose your social status
In England if you fail it's a BADD thing
In Silicon Valley if you fail, or quit your job, most people says "congratulations"
"Rewarding" and encouraging failure is vital to creating a tradition and culture of entrepreneurship - innovation.

Personal role models ---> find a personal role model

Opportunity

Training -->  


The entrepreneurial life  --->   What's it like???

It's definitely a challenge:
FLOW   "in the moment"  you  "feel it"  -->  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flow_(psychology)
Work -->  Requires a lot of it!
Dedication
Perseverance
Exhilaration
Agony  -->  bankruptcy is not fun...  It took 5 years to get angel soft accepted...

Accomplishment
Failure
Sacrifice  -->  find balance don't sacrifice your relationships
Control  -->  you have control and a flexible schedule
Powerlessness  -->  it's a big world out there which you don't have control over.
Extraordinary Satisfaction  -->  


The Entrepreneurial Spectrum:
Natural  ---  Ready  --  Potential  --  Fearful  -- Never
(Richard Branson)        most in the middle          (scared)

Entrepreneurial training -->  can move most people from never, toward fearful toward ready....












singularityu David Rose --> The flow of entrepreneurship: The appropriate level of challenge http://ping.fm/Zxwq7(psychology)
singularityu David Rose --> Hypomanic Edge Between Craziness and Success http://ping.fm/LUVZF
singularityu David Rose: The Hypomanic Edge http://ping.fm/PE3Ug
singularityu David Rose: Instinct
http://ping.fm/byzuq
singularityu David Rose --> Fools Gold:
http://ping.fm/BcnmX
singularityu: David Rose --> The Illusions of Entrepreneurship
http://ping.fm/xiOP0
singularityu David Rose --> Joseph Schumpeter, Father of entrepreneurship coined the term "Creative Destruction".
singularityu David Rose --> Adam Smith by pursuing his own risk the individual promotes that of the society more effectually than when he intends to promote it.
singularityu David Rose --> What is a Entrepreneur: A person who organizes and operates a business or businesses that takes greater than normal financial risk.
singularityu David Rose --> What is a Entrepreneur: A person who organizes and operates a business or businesses.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Performed Robotic surgery on a polymeric patient today.